Hey thanks! Yeah, I completely understand and we’ve been battling this for as long as I can remember (staying in stock). It was exacerbated during COVID with the Z-Wave chip shortage, and while we’ve gotten better at not having such long delays between out of stocks, we still run out.
Here’s what it boils down to:
- Demand has grown exponentially – like, it’s actually crazy – maybe it’s you out there telling everyone lol!
- Our profits, while healthy, have to cover the following:
- Inventory for increased demand
- Staff to accommodate this increased demand
- R&D for new products (each product is around $100k+ to launch)
So, it’s been a juggling act – what’s my best guess as to what the demand will be to cover the lead times + can our current staff handle the workload + what products can we launch and/or hold?
There are a couple solutions we’ve looked at:
- Look at a line of credit from a bank to pay for the extra inventory
- Crowdfund new products to take the R&D expense out of the equation (i.e., fund the R&D and then start the product)
- Raise VC / Investor funds
Right now, we’re in the mix of #1 and #2. #3 is not out of the question, but it’s just not a path we want to take right now unless we need a huge injection of cash that the bank can’t cover.
Speaking of the bank, we had a year during COVID where our profits were negative and banks unfortunately don’t like that haha. Luckily, that year falls off their analysis once we submit our 2024 tax documents showing our profits. They just couldn’t offer me anything worthwhile this year when I met them but they said if we have a profitable 2024, they could offer us more than enough to cover any sort of inventory purchases. I met with the accountant last week to make sure we submit our taxes as early as possible before the rush.
–
All that to say, I’m feeling optimistic about 2025 and having the extra funds to invest in more inventory to hopefully cover the demand and have more than enough to launch new products above and beyond what is already promised.
But, you all surprise me lol (I’m not complaining btw!)
–
Just for fun, here is what we’re seeing (as of today):
Last 52 Weeks
56% growth YOY
- 55% growth on our top selling SKU in the Blue Series (the dimmer)
- Almost $1M in $ sales for the White Series Dimmer
Last 12 Weeks
75% growth YOY
- 40% growth on the Blue Series Dimmer
- 318% growth on the White Series Dimmer
- Blue Series in total is up 27%, Red Series is up 10%, White Series is up 318%
Last 4 Weeks
175% growth YOY
- 87% growth on the Blue Series Dimmer
- 23% growth on the Red Series Dimmer
- 436% growth on the White Series Dimmer
- Blue Series is up 121%, Red Series is up 54%, White Series is up 500%
What this means is that the lead times are about 12 weeks and in that time, I need to account for at least a 75% increase across the board of our product line. When I say our profit margins are healthy, I do not mean 75% healthy lol. Then you factor in the latest 4 week data and I’m now having to almost triple my inventory purchase if the trend continues.
–
I’m open to ideas as the last thing I want to have happen is people getting frustrated and abandoning the brand because we’re never in stock and I know for a fact that has happened based on the Reddit posts, the Community posts and tickets that come in. I really hope the bank can offer us a solution otherwise, yes, we will have to come up with some creative ways to finance inventory.